Working paper · v0.3

Synthetic profiles in Meduzia: what they are and how they're measured.

Authors
Meduzia team
Version
0.3 · October 1, 2026
Reading
3-minute summary or 15-minute full version
Fig. 1 · Latin America, from the Meduzia brand library

Summary

Meduzia uses synthetic profiles: AI-created descriptions of people that answer questions in the first person, each with its own story. This paper explains what they are, what they're made of, how they respond and how what they say is validated.

The idea has strong academic backing: Stanford, Nature, Marketing Science and the Journal of Marketing have been testing it since 2023. Meduzia brings it to consumers across Latin America, country by country.

Every replication is validated blind against real studies, and measured against the bar science uses: how much a survey changes when it's repeated with the same people.

1. What a synthetic profile is

A synthetic profile is a description of a person, created with AI. With that description, the model answers in the first person, the way someone like that would: with their desires, their barriers and their way of deciding.

The description says who they are, how they decide, what they want and what holds them back. It's created for a category and a Latin American country by researching data on your brand's consumers in that market, not from a real person. The value shows up when many respond: how the answers are distributed and which option wins in each segment.

2. What each profile is made of

Each profile has eight fields and is created by researching data on your brand's consumers in each Latin American country: the socioeconomic level, the city and the way of speaking are those of that country.

Name, age, city
Basic data
E.g.: Lucía, 22, Medellín
SEL
Socioeconomic level, on its country's scale
E.g.: Estrato 3 (Colombia)
Occupation
What they do
E.g.: Design student
Decision mindset
Meduzia's own typology: impulsive, selective, social or critical
E.g.: Impulsive
Habit
How they shop
E.g.: Online, driven by discounts and videos
Desires
What they're looking for
E.g.: To feel unique in clothes she doesn't see everywhere
Barriers
What makes them hesitate
E.g.: Not knowing her real size and not being clear on the return policy
Personality traits
Five traits (Big Five), from 0 to 1
E.g.: Openness 0.8; conscientiousness 0.4; extraversion 0.7; agreeableness 0.6; neuroticism 0.6

3. How a question becomes an answer

You pick a category and write a question. The profiles in that category answer in parallel, each with its own description and the same rules.

The rules each profile receives:

  • You are a synthetic profile generated by a model, and you say so if asked.
  • Answer in the first person, in your country's language and with its expressions, in one or two sentences.
  • If something doesn't matter to you or you don't know it, say so. Only talk about what you know.
  • Your barriers and your way of deciding weigh as much as your desires.
  • If the proposal clashes with what holds you back, hesitate or reject it: a real person is almost never 100% in favor.

Each profile returns its answer and a stance: wants it, hesitates or rejects it. That way you see not only what it chooses, but why.

4. From answers to results

Answers are counted by stance and by segment: how many want it, how many hesitate and how many reject it, with each one's reasons. The numbers are calculated by code, not by the model.

The result is a read on where your market is heading: which option sparks the most desire, among whom, what holds it back and in what words your consumer puts it.

5. How we ensure answer quality

  • Profiles with a story. The more story a profile has, the better it answers: that's why each one carries habits, desires, barriers and traits.
  • Answers in their own words. Intent measured in free text is closer to people's than a score is.
  • Rules that ask for honesty. Each profile can hesitate or say no, just like a person.
  • Topics where it performs best. Products, messages, packaging and shopping experiences: the decisions brands make.

6. What the research says

The method builds on the most cited work on simulating people. The figures come from each study, with its own system and in its own country.

Park et al. · 2024 · Stanford

Agents built from interviews with 1,052 real people replicate their answers with 83% to 86% of the consistency those people show with themselves.

That's why every Meduzia profile has a story: how it shops, what it wants and what holds it back.

Argyle et al. · 2023 · Political Analysis

A well-conditioned model reproduces how different groups of people respond.

That's why every profile carries the context of its life.

Ashokkumar et al. · 2026 · Nature

A model anticipates where the results of 70 social experiments are heading, including unpublished studies.

That's why we show where each answer is heading and why.

Maier et al. · 2025 · PyMC Labs and Colgate-Palmolive

Across 57 personal care surveys, free-text purchase intent reaches 90% of the reliability of repeating the survey.

That's why profiles answer in their own words, with a stance.

Li et al. · 2024 · Marketing Science

The brand perception maps the model builds match those from surveys by more than 75%.

That's why it helps you understand how a brand is seen against others.

Arora et al. · 2025 · Journal of Marketing

People plus AI perform better than either one alone.

That's why Meduzia helps you choose what to take to the field and get there with the best hypotheses.

7. How it's validated

We take real studies conducted in Latin American countries, with people's answers held by a third party. We ask the profiles the same questions without seeing those answers, and compare against science's benchmark: how much the same people change when the survey is repeated with them.

  1. Choose 3 to 6 real studies per category, with closed-ended questions and stored answers.
  2. Write down and date what will be measured, before running.
  3. Run blind: whoever runs Meduzia doesn't see the human answers.
  4. Measure the distance question by question, and whether it gets the winning option right.
  5. Compare against the same survey repeated and against a simple baseline prediction for the category.
  6. Publish everything: the number, how many questions and studies, the dates, the model and the version.

8. Where it's growing

What we're adding to the engine:

  • Studies with thousands of profiles, each evaluated with four ways of deciding.
  • Profiles that update themselves with every new review, trend or competitor move.
  • Image evaluation: packaging and creatives.
  • A prediction log with date, version and real outcome.
  • Every result with its confidence level, measured against previous replications.

9. Standards we follow

We follow the ICC/ESOMAR Code 2025: every synthetic result is declared as such, right next to the data. We also follow AAPOR's 2026 recommendations for using AI in research.

These answers were generated by an AI model using synthetic profiles for the category. They're useful for exploring and for deciding what to test.

If a brand publishes a Meduzia result, it presents it as what it is, a synthetic-profile result, and checks the wording with us before publishing it.

References

  1. Park, J. S. et al. (2023). Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior. UIST. arxiv.org/abs/2304.03442
  2. Park, J. S. et al. (2024, rev. 2026). Generative Agent Simulations of 1,000 People. arXiv. arxiv.org/abs/2411.10109
  3. Argyle, L. P. et al. (2023). Out of One, Many. Political Analysis. doi.org/10.1017/pan.2023.2
  4. Ashokkumar, A., Hewitt, L., Ghezae, I. and Willer, R. (2026). Nature. doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10742-x
  5. Maier, B. et al. (2025). LLMs Reproduce Human Purchase Intent via Semantic Similarity Elicitation. arXiv. arxiv.org/abs/2510.08338
  6. Li, P., Castelo, N., Katona, Z. and Sarvary, M. (2024). Determining the Validity of Large Language Models for Automated Perceptual Analysis. Marketing Science. doi.org/10.1287/mksc.2023.0454
  7. Arora, N., Chakraborty, I. and Nishimura, Y. (2025). AI-Human Hybrids for Marketing Research. Journal of Marketing. doi.org/10.1177/00222429241276529
  8. Sarstedt, M. et al. (2024). Using large language models to generate silicon samples in consumer and marketing research. Psychology & Marketing. doi.org/10.1002/mar.21982
  9. ICC/ESOMAR (2025). ICC/ESOMAR International Code on Market, Opinion and Social Research and Data Analytics. standards.esomar.org/assets/documents/icc-esomar-code-2025.pdf
  10. AAPOR (2026). Responsible AI Integration in Survey Research. aapor.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/Responsible-AI-Integration-In-Survey-Research.pdf
  11. ESOMAR (2024). 20 Questions to Help Buyers of AI-Based Services. esomar.org/publications/esomar-20-questions-to-help-buyers-of-ai-based-services

How to cite

Meduzia Team (2026). Synthetic profiles in Meduzia: what they are and how they're measured. Working paper, version 0.3. Meduzia.

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